Difference between revisions of "design to cost"
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"Design to cost is a management strategy and supporting methodologies to achieve an affordable product by treating target cost as an independent design parameter that needs to be achieved during the development of a product." [http://www.npd-solutions.com/dtc.html] | "Design to cost is a management strategy and supporting methodologies to achieve an affordable product by treating target cost as an independent design parameter that needs to be achieved during the development of a product." [http://www.npd-solutions.com/dtc.html] | ||
| − | Applications of this methodology | + | Applications of this methodology include the dollar-a-gallon gasoline project. |
(Recent articles, video and ppt links) | (Recent articles, video and ppt links) | ||
Started soon and pushed hard, this project could end the use of fossil fuels short of 440 ppm and bring the level down as much as is wanted. It would lower the cost of energy at the same time. | Started soon and pushed hard, this project could end the use of fossil fuels short of 440 ppm and bring the level down as much as is wanted. It would lower the cost of energy at the same time. | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==Paul Allen's StratoLaunch vehicle used to ferry Skylons from factory to equatorial launch sites== | ||
[[File:Skylon and StratoLaunch.jpg]] | [[File:Skylon and StratoLaunch.jpg]] | ||
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==Skylon Ozone damage (NOx)== | ==Skylon Ozone damage (NOx)== | ||
| − | Some of you know that | + | Some of you know that in 2014 I asked people at NOAA to look |
into the potential ozone damage from up to a million Skylon flights | into the potential ozone damage from up to a million Skylon flights | ||
per year. There is no point in solving the carbon and energy problem | per year. There is no point in solving the carbon and energy problem | ||
| Line 26: | Line 28: | ||
did. | did. | ||
| − | The paper is | + | The paper is available online at |
| + | |||
| − | + | https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016EF000399 | |
| − | + | . | |
| − | Short answer: the damage to the ozone is not a showstopper. | + | Short answer: the damage to the ozone is not a showstopper for the hydrogen burning Skylon. |
==Video Animations== | ==Video Animations== | ||
| − | This video, Beamed Energy Bootstrapping, won the animation contest at the ISDC May | + | This video, Beamed Energy Bootstrapping, won the animation contest at the ISDC May 2016 |
*https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VEkZkINrJaA | *https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VEkZkINrJaA | ||
| − | Shorter version that was shown | + | Shorter version that was shown at the White House in April 2016 as a result of the D3 awards |
*https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrcoD_vHzxU&feature=youtu.be | *https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrcoD_vHzxU&feature=youtu.be | ||
The videos are about power satellites as a solution for CO2 | The videos are about power satellites as a solution for CO2 | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==Power satellite interview== | ||
| + | |||
| + | https://interviews.slashdot.org/story/15/08/26/1644228/interviews-l5-society-cofounder-keith-henson-answers-your-questions?sdsrc=rel | ||
| + | |||
| + | A little out of date. | ||
==Power Point== | ==Power Point== | ||
| Line 50: | Line 59: | ||
For more detail on the graphs, the slides for a two hours talk to the engineers at Reaction Engines are here: | For more detail on the graphs, the slides for a two hours talk to the engineers at Reaction Engines are here: | ||
| − | * | + | *[[File:REL2.pdf]] |
Boeing and Airbus production since I cited them. | Boeing and Airbus production since I cited them. | ||
| − | https://leehamnews.com/2015/02/03/airbusboeing-production-rates-forecast-through-2020/ | + | *https://leehamnews.com/2015/02/03/airbusboeing-production-rates-forecast-through-2020/ |
==Space Farm Paper from 1975== | ==Space Farm Paper from 1975== | ||
[[File:SMF 1975 Closed Ecosystems Chapter.pdf]] | [[File:SMF 1975 Closed Ecosystems Chapter.pdf]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[File:space farm graphic.png]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | Colored pencil and chalk by Carolyn Meinel 1975 | ||
==Other links== | ==Other links== | ||
| + | |||
| + | Evolutionary Psychology articles: | ||
| + | |||
| + | :Sex, Drugs, and Cults. An evolutionary psychology perspective on why and how cult memes get a drug-like hold on people, and what might be done to mitigate the effects | ||
| + | :https://archive.ph/20120709131213/http://human-nature.com/nibbs/02/cults.html | ||
| + | |||
| + | :Evolutionary Psychology, Memes and the Origin of War: | ||
| + | :https://www.academia.edu/777381/Evolutionary_psychology_memes_and_the_origin_of_war | ||
| + | |||
Regenexx: Stem Cell Therapy for Arthritis and Injuries | Regenexx: Stem Cell Therapy for Arthritis and Injuries | ||
www.regenexx.com/ | www.regenexx.com/ | ||
| Line 109: | Line 131: | ||
* http://investor.northropgrumman.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=112386&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=2037749 | * http://investor.northropgrumman.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=112386&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=2037749 | ||
| − | * A power satellite animation in orbit around earth. | + | * A power satellite animation in orbit around the earth. |
* https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B5iotdmmTJQsNmVTaUR1T2h1NlNFMFJiS3lHd2ptR013dnhR/view?usp=sharing | * https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B5iotdmmTJQsNmVTaUR1T2h1NlNFMFJiS3lHd2ptR013dnhR/view?usp=sharing | ||
| − | * Space construction cube unfolding to square power satellite | + | * Space construction cube unfolding to square power satellite frame on youtube |
* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H0PDV43Sg_8 | * https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H0PDV43Sg_8 | ||
| − | * | + | * [[File:Oil_Drum_Rays_of_Hope_with_pix.doc]] |
| + | ==Space laser== | ||
[[File:SkylonLaser.jpg |750 px|]] | [[File:SkylonLaser.jpg |750 px|]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[File:3GWLaser.jpg |750 px|]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[File:LaserDetail.jpg |750 px|]] | ||
Most recent article on the power satellites project | Most recent article on the power satellites project | ||
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* http://theenergycollective.com/gail-tverberg/266116/oil-prices-lead-hard-financial-limits | * http://theenergycollective.com/gail-tverberg/266116/oil-prices-lead-hard-financial-limits | ||
| − | + | An article which justifies the 1-2 cent per kWh and $30-$50 per bbl oil assumption. | |
From Spring 2014 issue of Ad Astra magazine, page 41. http://www.nss.org/adastra/volume26/v26n1.html (Table of contents only) | From Spring 2014 issue of Ad Astra magazine, page 41. http://www.nss.org/adastra/volume26/v26n1.html (Table of contents only) | ||
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Multi GW thermal radiator to get rid of waste heat from the lasers. | Multi GW thermal radiator to get rid of waste heat from the lasers. | ||
| − | + | Programming to keep the laser beam from intersecting with satellites in lower orbits. | |
If anyone wants to scope out one of the problems with building power satellites via laser propulsion, I would sure appreciate it. The problem is the big laser beam that provides the energy needed to heat hydrogen for the propulsion into space. It tracks along the equator for about 4000 km accelerating a reusable vehicle into LEO, and does this 3 times an hour. It's not acceptable for the beam to intersect tens of millions of dollars worth of global positioning satellite with 20 MW/m^2. | If anyone wants to scope out one of the problems with building power satellites via laser propulsion, I would sure appreciate it. The problem is the big laser beam that provides the energy needed to heat hydrogen for the propulsion into space. It tracks along the equator for about 4000 km accelerating a reusable vehicle into LEO, and does this 3 times an hour. It's not acceptable for the beam to intersect tens of millions of dollars worth of global positioning satellite with 20 MW/m^2. | ||
Latest revision as of 19:27, 9 February 2024
"Design to cost is a management strategy and supporting methodologies to achieve an affordable product by treating target cost as an independent design parameter that needs to be achieved during the development of a product." [1]
Applications of this methodology include the dollar-a-gallon gasoline project.
(Recent articles, video and ppt links)
Started soon and pushed hard, this project could end the use of fossil fuels short of 440 ppm and bring the level down as much as is wanted. It would lower the cost of energy at the same time.
Paul Allen's StratoLaunch vehicle used to ferry Skylons from factory to equatorial launch sites
Skylon Ozone damage (NOx)
Some of you know that in 2014 I asked people at NOAA to look into the potential ozone damage from up to a million Skylon flights per year. There is no point in solving the carbon and energy problem with power satellites if the cost is a billion cases of skin cancer.
They put a lot of effort into modeling the problem, hundreds of hours of supercomputer time on the models, writing a paper and getting it through peer review. I really appreciate what they did.
The paper is available online at
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016EF000399
.
Short answer: the damage to the ozone is not a showstopper for the hydrogen burning Skylon.
Video Animations
This video, Beamed Energy Bootstrapping, won the animation contest at the ISDC May 2016
Shorter version that was shown at the White House in April 2016 as a result of the D3 awards
The videos are about power satellites as a solution for CO2
Power satellite interview
A little out of date.
Power Point
For more detail on the graphs, the slides for a two hours talk to the engineers at Reaction Engines are here:
Boeing and Airbus production since I cited them.
Space Farm Paper from 1975
File:SMF 1975 Closed Ecosystems Chapter.pdf
Colored pencil and chalk by Carolyn Meinel 1975
Other links
Evolutionary Psychology articles:
- Sex, Drugs, and Cults. An evolutionary psychology perspective on why and how cult memes get a drug-like hold on people, and what might be done to mitigate the effects
- https://archive.ph/20120709131213/http://human-nature.com/nibbs/02/cults.html
- Evolutionary Psychology, Memes and the Origin of War:
- https://www.academia.edu/777381/Evolutionary_psychology_memes_and_the_origin_of_war
Regenexx: Stem Cell Therapy for Arthritis and Injuries www.regenexx.com/ Regenexx offers advanced stem cell therapy for arthritis and injuries, including moderate to severe joint, tendon, ligament, disc, or bone pain.
Alagebrium - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alagebrium Wikipedia Alagebrium was a drug candidate developed by Alteon Corporation. It was the first drug .... "The effect of alagebrium chloride (ALT-711), a novel glucose cross-link breaker, in the treatment of elderly patients with diastolic heart failure". Journal
Does nicotinamide riboside (Niagen) really have anti-aging or other ... https://www.consumerlab.com/answers/Does...riboside+(Niagen)...+/niagen/ Does nicotinamide riboside (Niagen) really have anti-aging or other health ... Nicotinamide riboside, sold as Niagen (Chromodex), is a form of vitamin B3 ...
Just for fun, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KIC_8462852
Fast links to Power Satellite topics
- Dollar a gallon gasoline
- Penny a kWh
- Hundred dollars a kg
- Miller's method
- http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5485
- http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7898 (Recent discussion and details)
The above articles are somewhat out of date but interesting for the objections raised. Current slide set here:
- Mining Asteroids (Asteroid mining is a natural outgrowth of mining for power satellite parts.)
- 2015 July
- We made this animation of transporting parts to GEO and building a thermal power satellite for a contest. We came in second, a team supported by the Chinese government won. 3000 of these could entirely replace the three cubic miles of oil (equivalent) of fossil fuel the human race uses each year. By the early 2030s if we got on it soon.
- Transport analysis abstract.
- Preprint
- Recent developments
- A power satellite animation in orbit around the earth.
- Space construction cube unfolding to square power satellite frame on youtube
Space laser
Most recent article on the power satellites project
- http://youtu.be/qCiw99yRBo8 Lecture with slides.
An article which justifies the 1-2 cent per kWh and $30-$50 per bbl oil assumption.
From Spring 2014 issue of Ad Astra magazine, page 41. http://www.nss.org/adastra/volume26/v26n1.html (Table of contents only) The article with artwork.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B5iotdmmTJQsSzVYQ2Q0YUtCMERRczdYSXMtUWphUl92aHFN/edit?usp=sharing
April 2014 article on laser propulsion concept http://theenergycollective.com/keith-henson/362181/dollar-gallon-gasoline
Slides for talk at Electric Utilities and Environment Conference Feb 2014. Graphics for 3 GW heat radiator and optics. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B5iotdmmTJQsTGNZN2RoTlZnYWs4V0FUNm1uZU9PNS1LcUlJ/edit?usp=sharing
Laser propulsion station and 3 GW radiator paper draft March 1 https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B5iotdmmTJQseU41dWlONm9YQkFDbDFVLTBNMGNCZzJfeWFV/edit?usp=sharing
Much more ambitious, 100 GW asteroid burner by Dr. Lubin at UCSB.
Historical background. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L5_Society
Topics that need wiki pages
Damage (or not) to the ozone layer from Skylon water exhaust and NOx
Multi GW thermal radiator to get rid of waste heat from the lasers.
Programming to keep the laser beam from intersecting with satellites in lower orbits.
If anyone wants to scope out one of the problems with building power satellites via laser propulsion, I would sure appreciate it. The problem is the big laser beam that provides the energy needed to heat hydrogen for the propulsion into space. It tracks along the equator for about 4000 km accelerating a reusable vehicle into LEO, and does this 3 times an hour. It's not acceptable for the beam to intersect tens of millions of dollars worth of global positioning satellite with 20 MW/m^2.
Either the beam has to be briefly cut off to allow a satellite to pass through, or the acceleration and timing needs to be adjusted to avoid such intersections of the beam and working satellites. The problem isn't that different from the problem of satellites running into a space elevator cable.
Listing of launch sites with consideration for the initial power coming from the Earth.
If you came here from an old business card, the email address is no longer valid, use Keith Henson <hkeithhenson@gmail.com>