https://htyp.org/mw/index.php?action=history&feed=atom&title=prediction_registryprediction registry - Revision history2026-08-13T19:40:24ZRevision history for this page on the wikiMediaWiki 1.45.3https://htyp.org/mw/index.php?title=prediction_registry&diff=6161&oldid=prevWoozle at 00:54, 12 December 20062006-12-12T00:54:57Z<p></p>
<p><b>New page</b></p><div>==Navigation==<br />
[[computing]]: [[software]]: [[prediction registry]]<br />
==Overview==<br />
A [[prediction registry]] (PR) is any kind of software/service whereby individuals can register testable predictions about specific future events, and be rewarded (perhaps only in credibility, but with more material gain also being a possibility) for accuracy.<br />
<br />
A few attempts have been made to create such a service, but they generally fall short in one or more ways, including:<br />
* "wagering"-style registries are generally favored by well-funded individuals, often with an agenda to promote<br />
* sites using non-PR-specific software (usually [[wiki]]-based) are generally easy to use but do not track individuals' "hit" scores<br />
<br />
[[software specification|Specification]]s for a fully-featured prediction registry are being worked out here: [[prediction registry design]] (A specification is the most reliable way of producing good software that does what its designers intended.)<br />
==Examples==<br />
The following sites attempt to provide PR services, but do not really provide the full featureset needed:<br />
* '''wager sites'''<br />
** [http://www.longbets.org/ Long Bets]<br />
** [http://www.pmcluster.com/ Prediction Markets Cluster]<br />
** [http://poolitics.com/ Poolitics]<br />
* '''wiki-based'''<br />
** [[issuepedia:Prediction Registry|Prediction Registry]] at [[Issuepedia]]: mostly single-author at this point; no structure to help guide usage, etc.</div>Woozle